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Rotten Tomatoes’ 2026 Golden Globe Nominations Predictions: Picks and Results

Rotten Tomatoes’ December 5, 2025 forecast named six picks across major Golden Globe film categories. Here are the predictions, spoilers, and results for picture nominees.
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Rotten Tomatoes published Jacqueline Coley’s 2026 Golden Globe nominations forecast on December 5, 2025, three days before the nominees were announced. It covered major film categories—not television—and named One Battle After Another as the season’s early favorite. The nominations have since been announced, so the forecast is best read alongside the final slate rather than as current nominations news.

Read Coley’s original predictions and use the updated full nominee list to check each category.

What Rotten Tomatoes was predicting

Coley’s feature answered the pre-announcement question of “who will be nominated next week in all the major film categories at the Golden Globes.” It was an editorial forecast, not an announcement from the Globes or a report of confirmed nominees. Coley described One Battle After Another as “safely positioned as the favorite,” citing its then-recent top prizes from the National Board of Review, Gotham Awards, and New York Film Critics Circle. That was her December 5 assessment of its momentum, not a guarantee of a Golden Globe outcome.

The lists below preserve the article’s six principal picks per category. Where the article separately identified a possible spoiler, it is shown apart from those six; it is not counted as an additional main pick.

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Predictions by category

Drama picture and lead performances

Category Coley’s six picks Possible spoiler
Best Drama Sinners; It Was Just an Accident; Sentimental Value; Frankenstein; Hamnet; The Secret Agent Hedda
Best Actress, Drama Jessie Buckley (Hamnet); Jennifer Lawrence (Die, My Love); Renate Reinsve (Sentimental Value); Julia Roberts (After the Hunt); Jodie Foster (A Private Life); Laura Dern (Is This Thing On?) Not stated
Best Actor, Drama Dwayne Johnson (The Smashing Machine); Michael B. Jordan (Sinners); Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent); Joel Edgerton (Train Dreams); Will Arnett (Is This Thing On?); Colin Farrell (Ballad of a Small Player) Oscar Isaac (Frankenstein)

Comedy or musical picture and lead performances

Category Coley’s six picks Possible spoiler
Best Comedy or Musical One Battle After Another; No Other Choice; Bugonia; Wicked: For Good; Marty Supreme; Jay Kelly Not stated
Best Actress, Comedy or Musical Rose Byrne (If I Had Legs I’d Kick You); Cynthia Erivo (Wicked: For Good); Kate Hudson (Song Sung Blue); Chase Infiniti (One Battle After Another); Amanda Seyfried (The Testament of Ann Lee); Emma Stone (Bugonia) Not stated
Best Actor, Comedy or Musical Timothée Chalamet (Marty Supreme); George Clooney (Jay Kelly); Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another); Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon); Jesse Plemons (Bugonia); Lee Byung-hun (No Other Choice) Not stated

Supporting performances and international film

Category Coley’s six picks Possible spoiler
Best Actress in a Supporting Role Ariana Grande (Wicked: For Good); Amy Madigan (Weapons); Teyana Taylor (One Battle After Another); Elle Fanning (Sentimental Value); Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas (Sentimental Value); Wunmi Mosaku (Sinners) Not stated
Best Actor in a Supporting Role Jacob Elordi (Frankenstein); Paul Mescal (Hamnet); Sean Penn (One Battle After Another); Benicio Del Toro (One Battle After Another); Stellan Skarsgård (Sentimental Value); Adam Sandler (Jay Kelly) Not stated
Best Non-English Language Film Sentimental Value; It Was Just an Accident; No Other Choice; The Secret Agent; My Father’s Shadow; SIRĀT Belen

Director, screenplay, music, and animation

Category Coley’s six picks Possible spoiler
Best Director Ryan Coogler (Sinners); Chloé Zhao (Hamnet); Guillermo del Toro (Frankenstein); Paul Thomas Anderson (One Battle After Another); Josh Safdie (Marty Supreme); Park Chan-wook (No Other Choice) Not stated
Best Screenplay Sinners; Hamnet; It Was Just an Accident; One Battle After Another; Marty Supreme; Sentimental Value Not stated
Best Music (Original Score) Sinners; Hamnet; Frankenstein; One Battle After Another; Jay Kelly; Marty Supreme Not stated
Best Animated Feature K-Pop Demon Hunters; In Your Dreams; Arco; Little Amélie or the Character of Rain; Scarlet; Zootopia 2 Not stated
Best Song “Golden” (KPop Demon Hunters); “I Lied to You” (Sinners); “The Girl in the Bubble” (Wicked: For Good); “Drive” (F1: The Movie); “Clothed by the Sun” (The Testament of Ann Lee); “Train Dreams” (Train Dreams) Not stated

The prediction article’s score entry spells Frankenstein as “Frankenstien”; the table uses the film’s standard spelling.

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How the predictions compare with the announced nominees

The later Rotten Tomatoes recap confirms that the nominations were announced and provides the actual slate. In drama picture, the announced nominees were Frankenstein, Hamnet, It Was Just an Accident, The Secret Agent, Sentimental Value, and Sinners—the same six films Coley predicted.

For musical or comedy picture, the announced nominees were Blue Moon, Bugonia, Marty Supreme, No Other Choice, Nouvelle Vague, and One Battle After Another. Four of those six appeared in Coley’s six picks; Jay Kelly and Wicked: For Good were her other two selections.

The recap also lists the announced nominees in acting, craft, animation, and song categories. To assess those forecasts fairly, compare each row above with its corresponding category in the final nominee list. That keeps unlike categories separate and avoids turning a forecast into a single accuracy score without first defining how the score treats categories, separately labeled spoilers, and individual picks.

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The announcement and ceremony dates are historical

Coley’s article said nominations would be announced Monday, December 8, 2025, and that the ceremony would air January 11, 2026, on CBS, with U.S. streaming on Paramount+. Those dates have passed; they describe the schedule attached to the original forecast, not upcoming events.

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