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Where the 2026 death claim comes from
The rumor recycles a coffin image and short videos presented as though they were scenes from The Simpsons. The versions examined by fact-checkers do not establish that an episode predicted Trump’s death, and the documented investigations do not identify the originator of every later repost.
In a February 14, 2025 fact check, PolitiFact examined Facebook posts claiming a Simpsons episode showed a Trump-like character in a coffin and predicted that “the day everything changes” would be February 14. PolitiFact said the video was not from the series and had previously appeared on a TikTok account featuring AI-created videos. It rated the claim “Pants on Fire!” Read PolitiFact’s 2025 fact check.
The coffin image itself is older than that post. PolitiFact reported in 2020 that it did not appear in the show, and Snopes reported in 2017 that it was not from the series and appeared to have been promoted on 4chan. That history supports calling it a recurring hoax image; it does not establish who first created it. PolitiFact’s 2020 review and Snopes’ 2017 fact check document earlier versions.
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How a separate fake prediction clip was assembled
A Lead Stories investigation of a death-prediction clip circulating in 2023 found it combined animation from “Peeping Mom” (Season 26, episode 18), a Trump scene from the 2019 short “West Wing Story,” and a fake coffin image substituted into a framed picture. The actual “Peeping Mom” episode did not feature Trump. The investigation illustrates how unrelated footage can be edited into a misleading prediction; it does not prove that every post uses the same edits. Read Lead Stories’ investigation.
What the real Trump episode actually shows
There is a genuine Trump reference in “Bart to the Future,” Season 11, episode 17, which originally aired in 2000. In its imagined future, Lisa becomes president after a fictional President Trump and inherits a budget crisis. The episode is a political joke about a presidency; it does not show or forecast Trump’s death. Prime Video’s Season 11 listing identifies the episode and summarizes its possible-future premise; Disney+ lists it as S11:E17. Catalog access and purchase or streaming options vary by country and can change.
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TIME reported that writer Dan Greaney described the Trump idea as “a warning to America,” and said it seemed like “the logical last stop before hitting bottom.” Those remarks concern the fictional presidency scenario, not a prediction of death. TIME’s account of the episode.
How to check a purported Simpsons prediction
- Look for episode details. A credible claim should identify the episode title, season and episode number, and original air date—not just circulate a screenshot or short clip.
- Find the unedited episode. Compare the claim with an episode listing or the full episode from a legitimate catalog. “Bart to the Future” is listed as Season 11, episode 17.
- Check whether the alleged date is actually in the source. In the 2023 clip Lead Stories investigated, the date came from an overlay and was not present in the original footage; the letters in the real scene were a gag, not a date.
- Trace the particular version. A fact-check about one edit can show how that version was made, but it cannot establish the origin of every similar post.
What the show’s producers say about “predictions”
In Associated Press reporting on the show reaching its 800th episode, executive producer Al Jean said, “Well, the predictions are accidental. We’re not from the future.” Executive producer Matt Selman said, “The predictions are all fake now,” adding, “They’re just done by AI.” These are the producers’ comments in that interview, not a technical audit of every prediction claim online. The death rumor is better assessed through the specific episode and clip evidence above. Read the AP report.
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