Yes. The September 2024 prediction that Dennis Quaid’s Reagan would outgross Nixon proved correct: Box Office Mojo lists Reagan’s final domestic theatrical gross at $30,047,417. The older-film comparison figures cited at the time were $13 million for Nixon and $18 million for Frost/Nixon; those figures come from the 2024 article, not an independently verified comparison in the available records.
What the 2024 headline was predicting
The headline “Dennis Quaid’s ‘Reagan’ Poised to Top ‘Nixon’ After Big Domestic Box Office Debut” appeared on September 4, 2024, while Reagan was still in theaters. It reported that the film had taken in $2.6 million on Labor Day Monday and had passed $10 million domestically after four days. Those were contemporaneous figures, not the film’s final total.
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The article compared that early run with domestic grosses of $13 million for Oliver Stone’s Nixon and $18 million for Frost/Nixon. These are the comparison values reported in the article syndicated by Headtopics; they should be treated as that article’s figures rather than as independently confirmed database totals.
How much did Reagan make?
Box Office Mojo lists Reagan, distributed by Showbiz Direct, as opening on August 30, 2024. Its release summary records an opening gross of $7,650,720 from 2,754 theaters, a final domestic gross of $30,047,417, and a worldwide gross of $30,107,173. The weekly listing shows $13,300,040 for August 30–September 5, 2024, with later weekly cumulative totals ending at the same domestic figure.
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Against the comparison figures reported in the September article, the completed domestic run passed both Nixon and Frost/Nixon. That confirms the direction of the forecast; it does not mean the early four-day total was already larger than either older film’s full run.
Independent reader supportYour contribution helps us test, update, and keep practical guides available for everyone.What the comparison does—and does not—show
- It is a comparison of reported domestic theatrical grosses. The domestic figure is not the same as worldwide gross, and neither figure is the amount ultimately received by a distributor.
- The release windows and eras differ. A comparison of nominal dollars does not adjust for inflation, ticket prices, distribution patterns, or the films’ different release schedules.
- Gross alone does not establish profitability. Without production and marketing costs, distribution terms, and exhibitors’ share, box-office totals cannot show whether a film made a profit.
Box Office Mojo’s release summary for Reagan and its weekly totals document the film’s figures. The September 2024 projection and its Nixon comparison appeared in the syndicated Headtopics page.
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